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주류판매업소 밀도가 지역별 범죄율에 미치는 영향 -서울특별시를 중심으로-
성우림 ( Woo Rim Sung ),천성수 ( Sungsoo Chun ),윤미은 ( Mieun Yun ),이혜림 ( Haerim Lee ) 대한보건협회 2015 대한보건연구 Vol.41 No.4
연구목적 : 본 연구는 서울시의 각 구별 주류판매업소의 밀도가 강간, 폭력 등 범죄의 발생에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위하여 설계되었다. 연구방법 : 분석을 위해 정부의 관련기관에서 공식적으로 보고한 1차 자료로 2013년도의 실태를 사용하였다. 서울시 구별음식점 및 주점자료는 국가통계포탈에서, 범죄관련자료는 대검찰청 범죄백서에서, 인구관련 정보는 서울통계에서, 재정자립도는 행정자치부의 재정고에서 각각 발췌하여 사용하였다. 밀도와 비율의 단위를 1,000으로 적용하였으며, SPSS 21.0을 사용하여 상관분석과 다중회귀분석을 실시하였다. 연구결과 : 주류판매업소밀도가 서울시의 평균보다 더 높은 밀도를 기록하고 있는 구들에서 범죄율, 강간율 및 폭행률이 대체적으로 높으며, 주류판매업소밀도가 낮은 구에서 범죄율, 강간율 및 폭행률이 전반적으로 낮은 편이다. 주류취급음식점의 밀도와 유흥주점의 밀도 모두 범죄율에 큰 영향을 미친다. 주류취급음식점밀도와 평균연령 및 재정자립도를 투입한 모델이 범죄율의 84.8%, 강간율의 80.1%, 그리고 폭행률의 86.5%를 설명한다. 주류판매업소의 밀도는 강간율과 폭행률 모두에 큰영향을 미친다. 결론 : 주류판매업소 밀도, 주류취급음식점 밀도, 그리고 주점 밀도가 높을수록 범죄율, 강간율, 폭행률 모두의 발생률이 높아진다. 이와 같은 결론은 우리나라의 음식점에서의 주류판매면허를 포함한 주류접근성을 조정할 수 있는 알코올정책이 필요성함을 시사한다. Objective: The purpose of this study is to identify the relationship between the alcohol on-premises densities and the corresponding local criminal rates including sexual assault rate and violent assault rate in Seoul. Methods: The number of markets in a given area was drawn from the Korean Statistical Information Service and the criminal rates were drawn from the White Paper on Crime published by Korean Prosecution Service. These information along with the population, average age, and financial independence rate of each Seoul administrative districts were gathered to compare the numbers by mere numbers of on-premises and criminals then by density and rate. One thousand were applied for calculation of rates and densities as a unit. Then using SPSS 21.0, the multiple regression and the correlation of the variables were calculated. Results: The boroughs that report the higher densities of alcohol on-premises than average density of Seoul city have been shown the higher criminal rate, sexual assault rate and assault rate generally than the boroughs that report the lower densities than average density of Seoul city. On the contrast the boroughs that report the low densities of alcohol on-premises were shown the low criminal rate as well as assault and sexual assault rate across the board. The criminal rate were effected by the restaurant density as well as the bar density. The regression model (model 2) on the restaurant density explains 84.8% of the criminal rate, 80.1% of sexual assault rate, and 86.5% of assault rate. The alcohol on-premises have effect on assault rate and sexual assault rate. Conclusion: The alcohol on-premises density was shown to have a significant effect on the criminal rate. These results mean as the alcohol on-premises density increases, the criminal rate especially violent assault and sexual assault rate increases.
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The Price Elasticity on Alcoholic Beverages in Korea
김다윗,윤미은,김미경,성우림,천성수 알코올과 건강행동학회 2015 알코올과 건강행동연구 Vol.16 No.1
Objectives: The aims of this study were to analyze the price elasticity on alcoholic beverages’ consumption and figure out the consumption pattern and its changes in Korea from 1997 to 2010 for using the official data relating alcohol consumption and its’ price. Methods: The alcohol 'unit' price of each type of alcoholic beverage in each year from 1997 to 2010 was extracted and its price inflation was compared with the consumer price inflation. Also, alcohol consumption of each type of beverage was calculated to see any changes over the years. Finally, the price elasticity of each alcoholic beverage was calculated to see the effect of the price changes on the alcoholic beverages’ consumption rate. Results: The price inflation rate from 1997 to 2010 was 3.682% for soju, 4.584% for wine, 1.887% for beer, and –1.48% for spirit and whisky and other similar kinds. The consumption rate decreased for soju 3611g (83%), but it was increased for beer 558g (120%), for spirit and whisky kinds 358g (208%), and for wine 107g (396%). The price elasticity of soju as –0.112, and beer as –0.153 showed that there is no significant effect of the price on the consumption rate, but the spirit and whisky kinds displayed as 1.840, wine 1.457, did show significant effect. Conclusion: From 1997 to 2010, the price inflation of alcoholic beverages was higher than the consumer price inflation. Of the total alcoholic beverage consumption, soju consumption was the highest with 60%. Especially, the phenomenon of producing lower alcoholic content liquor from 2006 caused a decrease in the total alcohol consumption. This means that the alcoholic beverage consumption of the drinkers(ℓ) remained the same, but only the unit consumption(g) has decreased. Thus, the decrease in the total unit alcohol consumption is not caused by the changes in consumption patterns of the drinkers. The price elasticity shows that the price does not have an effect on the drinking patterns. This may mean that the price of alcoholic beverages in Korea is still too cheap that it does not have a significant effect on the consumption pattern.
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