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        중국의 대기오염 배출 결정요인에 대한 경험적 분석

        리드미트리 ( Dmitriy D Li ),왕웬 ( Wang Wen ),배정환 ( Bae Jeong Hwan ) 한국환경경제학회·한국자원경제학회 2020 자원·환경경제연구 Vol.29 No.1

        The rapid economic growth has brought tremendous pressure on the environment and caused severe air pollution in China. This study empirically examines causes of air pollution in China. Panel-corrected standard errors procedure (PCSE) was used to analyze major determinants of increasing or reducing emissions of sulfur dioxide (SO<sub>2</sub>) and nitrogen oxides (NO<sub>X</sub>) in 30 Chinese provinces. The estimation results show that SO<sub>2</sub> emission is mitigated as per capita regional GDP increases, but the relation between emission of NO<sub>X</sub> and per capita regional GDP is found to have an inverse N-shaped curve, which implies that emission of NO<sub>X</sub> is ultimately expected to decline with economic growth. As for increasing factors of air pollutants, electricity consumption is a significant common source of SO<sub>2</sub> and NO<sub>X</sub> emissions. Moreover, the results show that increment of coal consumption significantly affects emission of SO<sub>2</sub> while increase of natural gas consumption reduce emission of SO<sub>2</sub>. On the other side, investment in energy industry, and investment on treatment of waste gases are determinants of mitigating emissions of SO<sub>2</sub>, but have no impact on NO<sub>X</sub>. Consumption of diesel, truck ratio and number of vehicles increase emission of NO<sub>X</sub>. Meanwhile, higher precipitation rate is a common determinant of mitigating emissions of SO<sub>2</sub> and NO<sub>X</sub>. Policy implications are suggested in the conclusion.

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