http://chineseinput.net/에서 pinyin(병음)방식으로 중국어를 변환할 수 있습니다.
변환된 중국어를 복사하여 사용하시면 됩니다.
地方財政の支出が地域経済の成長に 及ぼす影響分析 : 忠清南道における社会福祉分野の支出を中心に
김양중,이민정 재단법인 경기연구원 2021 GRI 연구논총 Vol.23 No.4
. 過去の地方財政は、国家財政の一部として中央予算の従属的概念として把握されており、マスグレイブの3 大機能のうち、資源配分の機能にのみ関連するという消極的立場に止まっていた。しかし、地方自治制の発展 や地方財政の規模拡大に従い、もはや今は国家と地方発展のために、地方財政の機能は国家財政のそれと同 じ側面で見なければならない。 近年、少子高齢化、経済 · 社会的格差の問題が深刻化し、中央政府はもちろん、地方政府の社会福祉分野に おける支出拡大が求められている。一方で、地方政府の財政自立度は落ち、政府負債は増している。特に、昨 年から新型コロナウィルス感染症を経験しながら、さらに悪化した経済状況の下で政府主導の財政支援は厳 しさを増している。一方、社会福祉·社会的セーフティネットの拡充への財政支出要求は強まっており、財政 支出の効率的意思決定が一層重要になると考えられる。 本稿は、2009年から2019年までの忠南の財政支出データを用い、地方政府の財政支出が地域経済の成長の 及ぼす影響を分析したうえで、財政乗数を導出し財政支出の効果を把握した。 その結果、社会福祉の財政弾力性は 0.065 で、忠南における社会福祉の財政支出は、忠南のGRPDへ正(+)の 相関関係があると判明した。なお、社会福祉財政支出変数の算出弾力性の推定値を用いて導出された、2019 年基準、忠南における社会福祉分野の財政乗数は 1.41、2020年のは 1.29、2021年のは 1.14であり、これまで 忠南の社会福祉支出はの成長に役立ったと言える。ただし、2022年以後は、財政乗数が1に至らない値で、そ の効果が半減すると予想できる。 最近、“コロナ相生国民支援金”が、当初、所得下位88%への選別支給に決定されたが、京畿道の普遍的支 給の決定以後、忠南をはじめ、多くの地域が普遍的支給へと舵を切っている。限られた資源や財政状況、財政 の効率的かつ効果的支出などを総合的に鑑み、地域の財政状況相応な政策を進める意思決定がなお重要な時 点である。
김양중,김원년,이민정 한국자료분석학회 2014 Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society Vol.16 No.3
The purpose of this study is to analyze how support programs by the FTA support center ("the center) influence small- and medium-sized exporting companies. The data used in this paper are the questionnaire survey by Chungnam Development Institute. And for analysis, the binary logistic regression model is used. The results show that: (1) In the case of the companies exporting to Asian and EU markets, support programs by the center raise the utilization at the 5% significance level. (2) In the case of the companies exporting to Asian markets, the participating companies are utilizing the support programs 3 times more than non-participating ones. In the case of the companies exporting EU markets, the utilization of the programs by the participating companies are 4.5 times higher than non-participating ones. (3) In the case of the companies exporting to Asian markets, the higher satisfaction with 'training program for origin investigator' and 'support for overseas marketing utilizing FTA' is, the higher the exports are. However, for companies exporting to EU markets, 'training for business knowledge utilizing FTA' is an important factor, and for the companies exporting to USA market, 'Orientation about FTA markets' is important. These results mean that selective assistances in the light of export regions are required when the center supports export companies. 본 연구는 FTA활용지원센터가 충남 중소수출기업에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 아시아 및 EU로 수출하는 기업의 경우, FTA활용지원센터의 지원사업이 5% 유의수준에서 기업의 FTA 활용도를 높이는 것으로 나타났다. 아시아 수출기업의 경우 FTA활용지원센터 사업참여 기업은 비참여 기업에 비해 3.0배 더 FTA를 활용하는 것으로 나타났으며, EU 수출기업의 경우 FTA활용지원센터 사업참여 기업이 비참여 기업에 비해 4.5배 더 FTA를 활용을 하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 아시아 수출기업의 경우 FTA활용지원센터의 프로그램 중 ‘FTA 원산지 관리사 양성교육’, ‘FTA활용해외마케팅 지원’에 대한 만족도가 높을수록 수출이 증가하는 것으로 나타난데 반해 EU 수출기업의 경우 ‘FTA 활용 실무지식 교육’에 대한 만족도가 높을수록, 미국 수출기업의 경우 ‘FTA 시장설명회’, ‘FTA활용 해외마케팅지원’에 대한 만족도가 높을수록 수출이 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 FTA활용지원센터가 수출기업을 지원함에 있어 수출국을 감안한 선택적 지원이 필요함을 의미한다고 할 수 있다.
A Study of Import Demand for Agricultural and Ginseng Products from China
김양중,김원년 한국자료분석학회 2012 Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society Vol.14 No.4
The aim of this study is to estimate the price elasticity of import demand for agricultural and ginseng products from China. The price elasticity of import demand for agricultural products from China was estimated to be -1.07 with a cross-price elasticity 0.44, and the income elasticity estimated to be 0.28. In the case of ginseng products, price elasticity was estimated to be -0.59 with a cross-price elasticity 0.16 and an income elasticity of 0.44. The results of the analysis showed that Chinese ginseng products were less sensitive to price changes as compared to the total agricultural products. In terms of income change, they were found to be more sensitive as compared to the total agricultural products. Because Chinese ginseng products are not greatly affected by price changes as compared to agricultural products, in which the damage amount would be limited even if a Korea-China FTA were to be concluded. Therefore, instead of focusing on imports defense, it is believed that the focus should be on expanding exports.