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- 저자 : ( Khin Theingi Aung ) (검색결과 3 건)
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Determinants of Economic Growth in ASEAN Countries (2002-2019)
( Khin Theingi Aung ) 부산외국어대학교 아세안연구원 2023 Suvannabhumi Vol.15 No.2
This study analyzes the effect of macroeconomic indicators such as foreign direct investment (FDI), domestic investment, trade, inflation, unemployment, population, and governance indicators on economic growth and points out the GDP growth rate in 2002- 2019 among ASEAN countries. Data were compiled from the Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) and the World Bank, and the effect of variables on GDP was predicted using the pooled ordinary least squares (POLS), fixed effects model (FEM), and random effects model (REM) methods. As a measure of growth, the GDP growth rate has been taken; FDI and domestic investment, trade, inflation, and governance indicators are positively connected and have an influence on economic growth in these ASEAN countries; domestic investment, population, and unemployment have a negative relationship to economic growth. The macroeconomic indicators and institutional stability of the nation have an effect on its economic growth. Comprehensive institutional stability and well-laid macroeconomic policies are required for growth to materialize.
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Foreign Direct Investment Effect on Economic Growth in Selected Asian Countries
KHIN THEINGI AUNG,김현석 한국무역통상학회 2022 무역통상학회지 Vol.22 No.6
The purpose of this study is to examine the impacts of foreign direct investment (hereafter FDI) on economic growth in selected Asian countries: Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam. The study also utilizes instrumental variables including regulatory quality, government effectiveness, corruption control, political stability and absence of violence, voice and accountability, and rule of law to explain differences in institutions and macroeconomic policies in the host countries. Data was gathered from the World Bank and the Worldwide Governance Indicators(hereafter WGI) between 2002 and 2019 and analyzed using ordinary least squares(hereafter OLS), two stage least squares(2SLS), and generalized method of methods(hereafter GMM) methodologies. These selected Asian countries have seen higher FDI inflows in recent years, it is important to figure out the reason, and we would like to concentrate on the influence of FDI on economic growth in each of these Asian countries, together with the effect of these instrumental factors on FDI. This study show that the impact of FDI on a country's GDP growth rate is dependent on the economy's institutional quality. The FDI and domestic investment are positively connected and have an influence on economic growth in these selected Asian countries when instrumental characteristics such as accountability, corruption control, political stability, and the absence of violences are taken into account. The country's macroeconomic policies and institutional stability have an impact on its economic growth. For FDI-driven growth to materialize, comprehensive institutional stability and macroeconomic policies are required.
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무역 증가가 무역 참가국의 산업의 비유사성을 줄이는가?
권윤정,이근재,조영두,KHIN THEINGI AUNG,백현화 한국무역연구원 2024 무역연구 Vol.20 No.5
Purpose – This research aims to analyze the effect of trade volume on industries within Global Value Chains (GVCs) among eight Asia-Pacific countries in order to examine how an increase in trade volume can alter the industries of the participating countries. Design/Methodology/Approach – We used a metric Multi-dimensional Scale (MDS) to estimate the dissimilarities of GVCs in each country with non-parametric regression and OLS, and GLS to examine the effects of within- and between-industry trade on GVCs. Findings – The MDS result shows that China and Russia were located 90 degree to each other, while the rest of the countries were located in the center. China is the most GVC country, and Russia is the least GVC country. The results of the dissimilarities show that both within-industry and between-industry trade can reduce dissimilarities among trading countries. This means that an increase in trade volume can lead to greater consistency among bilateral trading countries. Research Implications – Unlike the specialization effect, our research demonstrates that an increase in bilateral trade volume in GVCs reduces dissimilarities among trading countries. However, we cannot conclude that there is no specialization; rather, limited specialization exists. Our results suggest that within-industry trade has a more significant and stronger effect on reducing dissimilarities in GVC industries compared to between-industry trade.
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