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Rashmi Adhikari Green School Graduate School of Energy and Environ 2021 국내석사
The paper explores the energy and environmental implication of NDC (Nationally Determined Contribution) target 10th “to decrease its dependency on fossil fuel in the transport sector by 50% through effective mass public transport means by promoting energy-efficient and electric vehicles”. The study shows that the NDC target could be achieved by implementing the policies related to electric mobility and targets strictly as mentioned in this study. The bottom-up Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) System platform is utilized for modeling the national transport system and for accessing the benefits. The benefit is analyzed in terms of reduction of national transport demand, petroleum import, greenhouse gas emission, and the increase in electricity demand during the period of 2015 – 2050. The study shows, if the share of electricity-based transport services for three-wheelers, two-wheelers, train and LPG run vehicles is to grow to 20% by 2030, 50% by 2040, 100% by 2050 and similarly, for rest of the road transport system, if the share of the electric-based transport system is to grow to 20% by 2030, 30% by 2040 and 40% by 2050, diesel import would be decreased by 41%, gasoline (motor spirit) would be decreased by 59%, LPG used would be decreased by 100%, national transport demand would be decreased by 18%, greenhouse gas emission would be decreased by 40% and there would be a substantial increment in electricity demand.