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RISS 인기검색어
- 검색키워드
- 저자 : Geon Hassan (검색결과 1 건)
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(The) Perception of threats and Egyptians' disillusionment with democracy after the Arab spring
Geon Hassan Hankuk University of Foreign Studies 2022 국내박사
The thesis investigates why the Egyptian people abandoned their support for democracy only two years after staging major protests demanding regime change in ‘Tahrir Square’ in 2011. This thesis's basic argument is based on the notions of bounded rationality as well as recent breakthroughs in the field of cognitive heuristics. The research demonstrates how several cues created by domestic and regional events induced stronger security and stability demands. The research demonstrates this via public opinion polls done by Arab Barometer and Pew centers to measure public opinion about democracy. The study shows how the public paid close attention to powerful and vivid occurrences, which prompted a preference for the strong man model system of government. Fear of Islamists pushed both elite oppositions and the public masses to update their preferences and seek the help of the old regime alliances, then reintroduce authoritarianism. This dissertation’s findings point to highly significant changes in Egyptian public opinion in the time between the democratic opening following the removal of Mubarak and the removal Morsi. Support for democracy has fallen and conditional support for anti-democratic leaders has risen significantly. With these overall shifts, one can also see important changes in the basis of democratic support. Two potentially contradictory groups were distinctly supportive in 2011: Islamists who saw a reason to support democracy as a means to enhance the role of religion in Egyptian politics; and the usual suspects of modernization, who saw in democracy a means to advance their economic and other aspirations. Neither of these groups is now distinctive in its support for democracy.
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