LEAP 모델을 이용한 H대학의 온실가스 감축 잠재량 분석 = Analysis of greenhouse gas reduction potentials capacity using LEAP model on Hoseo University

국문 초록 (Abstract)

최근에 기후변화는 전 세계적으로 이슈화되고 있으며, 우리나라 또한 예
외는 아니다. ‘저탄소 녹색성장’ 이라는 새로운 국가 비전 명목아래서 온실
가스 및 에너지 목표관리제 등을 시행 중에 있다. 국내 대학교의 경우에는
연간 2,000 TOE 이상 에너지를 사용하는 에너지 다소비 기관이다. 국내
190개의 에너지 다소비기관 중에서 38개 기관이 대학이다. 이는 대학 또한
거대한 온실가스 배출원임을 입증하는 단적인 예라고 할 수 있다.
감축기술 분야에서의 연구방법론으로는 먼저 분류 가능한 배출원별
로 에너지 사용량을 도출한다. 그리고 에너지원별로 배출량을 계산한
다음 적용 가능한 감축기술을 조사한다. 감축기술을 적용한 경우와 적
용하지 않았을 경우에 비교를 통해 감축잠재량을 산정하는 것이다.
따라서 본 연구에서는 정부의 기후변화정책 및 대학단위의 효율적인
온실가스 감축잠재량 대안을 도출하고자 에너지 및 온실가스 감축 모
형인 LEAP(Long-term Energy Alternatives Planning system)를 활용
하여 분석하였다.
시나리오는 총 5개이며, 아무런 감축 활동이 없을 때의 에너지 수요
량을 예측한 기준시나리오와 고정연소 부문, 이동연소 부문, 전력 부문,
마지막으로 세 가지를 모두 적용한 통합시나리오로 구성하였다. 시나
리오에 따른 결과로는 2030년 기준 BAU(Business As Usual) 시나리
오는 22,500 tonCO2eq/yr의 온실가스가 배출되었고, 호서대학교의 온
실가스 배출량은 에너지 감축 활동으로 BAU(Business As Usual) 대
비 약 18.2%의 온실가스 배출량을 감축할 수 있음을 확인하였다.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Ⅰ. 서 론 ····························································································1
• 1. 연구의 배경 및 목적 ····································································· 1
• 2. 연구의 범위 및 방법 ·····································································4
• Ⅱ. 이론적 배경 ·····················································································5
• 1. 대학의 에너지 사용 현황 및 온실가스 배출량 ······················5
• 가. 국내 대학의 에너지 사용 현황 분석 ····································5
• 나. 대학의 온실가스 배출량 ························································ 11
• 다. 친환경 캠퍼스의 이해 ·····························································12
• 라. 국내 그린캠퍼스 사례 ···························································· 14
• 마. 국외 그린캠퍼스 사례 ·····························································18
• 2. LEAP 모델 ····················································································· 23
• 가. LEAP 모델의 개요 ··································································23
• 나. LEAP 모델의 분석원리 ························································· 26
• Ⅲ. 연구방법 및 자료···········································································30
• 1. 호서대학교 에너지 소비 현황 ····················································30
• 가. 간접배출에 의한 온실가스 배출량 ········································32
• 나. 이동연소에 의한 온실가스 배출량 ········································33
• 다. 고정연소에 의한 온실가스 배출량 ········································35
• 라. 월별 에너지 사용에 의한 온실가스 배출량 ······················· 36
• 마. 연도별 온실가스 배출량 ··························································38
• 2. LEAP 모델의 입력자료 ······························································· 40
• 가. 주요 전제 및 에너지 부문 입력자료 ····································40
• 나. 운영경계 및 온실가스 배출량 ················································41
• 3. LEAP 모델의 시나리오 구성 ·····················································43
• 가. BAU 시나리오 구축 ·································································43
• 나. 고정연소 부문 감축 시나리오 ················································43
• 다. 이동연소 부문 감축 시나리오 ················································44
• 라. 전력 부문 감축 시나리오 ························································44
• 마. 통합시나리오 ··············································································44
• Ⅳ. 연구결과 및 고찰 ········································································45
• 1. BAU 시나리오 분석 ···································································· 45
• 2. 고정연소 부문 감축 시나리오 분석 ········································ 47
• 3. 이동연소 부문 감축 시나리오 분석 ········································ 49
• 4. 전력 부문 감축 시나리오 분석 ················································ 52
• 5. 통합 시나리오 분석 ····································································· 54
• Ⅴ. 결 론 ·················································································· 56
• 참고문헌 ·························································································57
• 영문초록 ·························································································60