[硏究論文]南北頂上會談과 韓半島의 國際政治 = North-South Summit and International Politics of Korean Peninsula

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The results of the inter-Korean summit is absolutely positive. The agreement on such issues as principles and methods of reunification, peace settlement, reunion of separated families and broad exchanges actually signifies a return to the relations stated in the South-North basic agreement, which is the goal of South Korean government's policy toward North Korea, and is worthy of being called a victory that washes away the past inter-Korean stalemate. Moreover, if the summit meetings are institutionalized, then we can say it is de facto establishment of the South-North confederation. What effects will the success of historic inter-Korean summit have in North Korea's relations with major powers? The realistic approach that gives weight to 'positive-sum' projection attributes North Korea's eagerness to improve ties with South Korea to its recovered self-confidence. The Kim Jong-il system is taking strong root and is beginning to cautiously gain confidence about opening up to the outside world. The North Korean strategic shift, understandably, comes with fear and caution. Kim Jong-il's visit to China should be understood in this context. Chances are high that China actively encouraged Kim Jong-il to be courageous about opening up and promised to play an active role in case of unforeseen circumstances. Understandably, North Korea's maneuvering will have to be affected not only by itself but also by China. China, North Korea's de facto patron, will likely prevent North Korea from going far ahead in improving its ties with the United States. China may think that any shaking of the status quo on the Korean Peninsula, caused by epoch-making progress in North Korea-U.S. ties, will enhance the strategic uncertainty in security, which will then hamper China's top priority, that is its economic development policy under the ongoing reform and openness. In short, North Korea is expected to implement the North Korea-U.S. Nuclear Agreement signed in Geneva in 1994 and the substances of the Perry process in a careful manner without allowing the United States to take the initiative in the Korean issues.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Ⅰ. 서 론
• Ⅱ. 남북정상회담 결과에 대한 평가
• Ⅲ. 한반도의 국제정치
• Ⅳ. 결론: 무엇을 할 것인가?