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SPS 조치 해제에 따른 EU산 쇠고기 수입개방 영향 분석
한석호,염정완,김진년,이형우 한국농촌경제연구원 2017 농촌경제 Vol.40 No.3
Korea has designated EU beef as an item prohibited to be imported by Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures (SPS). However, the EU has continuously requested the opening of the beef market to Korea through the Korea-EU FTA/SPS meetings & Korea-EU trade commission. Given recent international negotiation trends on NTMs including SPS, EU beef might be expected to be imported in the near future. This study aims at presenting a practicable methodology to estimate economic effects of Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures (SPS), particularly to analyze the effects of lifting an import ban on EU beef that has not been imported. We applied an ex-post assessment & dynamic analysis method using KREI-KASMO, and carried out a case study about EU beef. The results show that expected imports of EU beef depend on import price and the degree of quality when compared to other imported beef from countries such as the US, Australia & New Zealand. This study is expected to be used in researching basic analysis methods of strategies that can minimize Korea’s membership fee in SPS negotiations, and to contribute to the trade authorities’ policy-making.
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우치무라 간조(內村鑑三)의 메이지 정신에 대한 이해 -메이지 정신 극복과정을 중심으로-
한석호 한국일본어문학회 2021 日本語文學 Vol.90 No.-
本稿の目的は不敬事件以後、内村鑑三の思想の様々な様相を考察する中で、内村鑑三の『キリスト信徒のなぐさめ』を通して形成された宗教思想の結晶を考察することにある。『キリスト信徒のなぐさめ』を通して形成された内村の思想は,当時の国体思想である‘明治の精神’、すなわち, 自国優越主義的な帝国主義, 日本的オリエンタリズムを相対化させ、十字架事件が中心となる福音主義の種を蒔き、内村の最終的なキリスト世界観である‘再臨信仰’の萌芽の兆しであることが分かる。 そして,そのためのツールとして活用された内村の‘予言者の視角’は,彼の‘日本的キリスト教’をパウロの信仰に基づき‘無教会主義’を誕生させ、ひいては西欧のキリスト教の援助に頼らない日本的キリスト教の自立を可能にした尺度として機能した。また、献身の対象である‘日本’も従来の天皇が主人となる帝国の日本ではなく、キリストと自分の他には誰にも頼らない人々、すなわち、ただ正当な競争と自らの力でこの世を生きていく平民が主人である日本を模索していると評価することができる。 この点において、内村の『キリスト信徒のなぐさめ』は‘二つのJ’、すなわち、‘日本’と‘イエス’の実体が具体化された場所であり、当時の国体思想である明治の精神を相対化させようとした内村の日本的キリスト教およびパウロの信仰の原理が内在しているといえるだろう。 The purpose of this paper is to examine the determining factors of the religious ideology formed through 『the comfort of Uchimura's Christians believers』while examining various aspects of Uchimura's faith after the blasphemous incident. Uchimura′ thoughts formed through 『the comfort of Christians』relativized the Meiji spirit, the national supremacy, imperialism, and Japanese Orientalism at the time, to materialize the belief in atonement, sown the seeds of evangelicalism centered on the crucifixion, and Uchimura's final worldview, Adventism. And Uchimura's prophetic perspective, which was used as a tool for this, gave birth to agnosticism based on Paul's faith, in his Japanese Christianity, and further functioned as a measure that enabled the independence of Japanese Christianity that does not depend on Western Christianity. In addition, Japan, the object of devotion, is also not an empire Japan where the existing emperor is the master, but a new Japan in which people who do not depend on anyone other than God and themselves, that is, commoners who live in this world only through fair competition and their own strengh, are the masters. In this respect, the comfort of Uchimura's Christian believers can be said to be the place where the reality of two Js, Japan and Jesus, was embodied, and the principle of Uchimura's Japanese Christianity and Pauline faith, which tried to relativize the Meiji spirit, the national ideology of the time, is inherent.
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지역주민의 지속 가능한 관광개발 지지에 미치는 영향 분석: 사회적 교환이론과 장소 애착의 종합
한석호,유은정 (사)한국관광레저학회 2022 관광레저연구 Vol.34 No.2
Residents’ support in tourism development is critical to the success of sustainable tourism and requires intensive research efforts. This study examines the drivers behind support of residents in the context of nature-based tourism destination by enriching the relevant discourse with a comprehensive view that integrates rational and emotional perspectives. Based on social exchange theory and place attachment, a research model was proposed to capture the effects of economic rationality factors (perceived benefit and cost) and non-economic rationality factors (place identity). This model was tested using 364 data collected from residents of Jecheon City. The results confirmed that perceived benefit and cost have direct impacts on place identity and support for sustainable tourism development. Additionally, place identity indirectly mediates the effects of perceived benefit and cost on residents’ support. Theoretical and practical implications for tourism planning and development strategies of destinations were discussed.
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농업부문 전망모형 KREI-KASMO 2015 운용 · 개발 연구
한석호,서홍석,염정완,김충현 한국농촌경제연구원 2015 한국농촌경제연구원 기타연구보고서 Vol.- No.-
한국농촌경제연구원에서는 1990년대 이후 한국 농업거시지표에 대한 중장기 전망과 정책분석 능력을 개선하기 위해 계량경제적 농업부문 부분균형모형인 KREI-KASMO를 개발하였으며, 모형의 현실 반영력과 전망능력을 보다 향상시키기 위해 지속적으로 보완・개선작업을 실시하고 있다. 매년 수행되는 이 연구의 목적은 데이터베이스를 갱신하고, 산출된 예측치에 대한 정량적 · 정성적 분석을 통해 품목별 수급 모형을 수정 보완하며, 농업 환경변화에 효과적으로 대응할 수 있는 모듈 개발 등을 통하여 모형의 견고성 및 완성도를 증진시키는 데 있다. 2015년 연구에서는 첫째, 거시경제지표와 품목별 자료와 무역 관련 자료를 업데이트하였으며, 자료 갱신에 따라 모형 내 도입된 개별방정식을 재조정하였다. 둘째, 9개 품목의 수급모형을 신규 개발 · 구축하여 모형에 추가하였으며 셋째, FTA 대상국의 주요 수출입 품목의 세분화 및 수출입함수의 신규 개발 · 추정을 실시하였다. 넷째, 기 체결 FTA 이행에 따른 농업부문의 사후영향평가를 위해 동태적 사후 영향평가 시뮬레이션 모듈을 개발하여 모형에 추가하였다. 마지막으로, 경제적 충격에 따른 모형의 반응 정도 및 방향성 등을 지속적으로 검토하고 개선하였다. 본 보고서는 총 4장으로 구성되어 있다. 1장에서는 연구의 필요성과 목적을 소개하고, 농업부문 총량모형에 관한 선행연구를 정리하였다. 2장에서는 KREI-KASMO의 기본 가정, 대상 품목, 모형 구조를 소개하고 2015년 모형에 반영된 개선 사항과 모형의 활용실적을 기술하였다. 3장에서는 KREI-KASMO의 이해를 돕기 위해 모형구축의 이론적 원리와 운용방식을 주요 함수별로 요약하였고, 무역자유화의 영향평가 방법론을 정리하였다. 4장에서는 향후 보완사항 및 과제를 제시하였다. 부록에는 KREI-KASMO 2015의 구조 및 변수 설명을 수록하였다.
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한석호 경상대학교 농업생명과학연구원 2016 농업생명과학연구 Vol.50 No.3
This study builds counties-specific panel data and establish a stochastic rice yield forecasting model by using a fixed effect panel model based on results calculating the coefficients for the meteorological factors, and by using a variety of weather scenarios. Rice yield prediction model developed estimating equations were set to rice yield as the dependent variable, and the average temperature, accumulated temperature, daily temperature range, sunshine hours as explanatory variables, by using panel data by counties in recent 10 years. Estimation results using a fixed-effects model was able to verify that an average temperature affects to yield as quadratic form, there appeared to be significantly affected by accumulated temperature in Heading period, an average temperature in Ripening period. a rice yield prediction model is meaningful in that we can see the forecasting results in the previous. not waiting the actual survey results provided by the National Statistical Office. because this forecasting estimates is sufficient rationale material by government supply & demand measures. Finally, the study leave to future challenges with respect to establishing a prediction model developed as combined with land productivity and environmental engineering factors.
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