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최의수(Eu-Soo Choi),문일주(Il-Ju Moon) 한국기상학회 2008 대기 Vol.18 No.4
This study investigates a long-term variation of the annual extreme value for the instantaneous wind speed and the daily precipitation during 56 years (1951-2006) in Korea. Results show that there is a uptrend for both wind and precipitation extreme records, although regional trends are different from overall pattern in some places, particularly for wind speed. The estimated linear trends are 230 ㎜/56 yr in the daily precipitation and 15 m s<SUP>-1</SUP>/56 yr in the maximum instantaneous wind speed. For precipitation, other indexes such as total annual precipitation, the number of extreme precipitation event, and precipitation intensity have dramatically increased as well, while there has been a clear downtrend for the number of strong wind events (>14 m S<SUP>-1</SUP>). lt is found that the minimum surface pressure recorded during typhoon attacks in Korea tends to be decreasing, about 10 hPa/56 yr. This partly explains why the extreme values in the precipitation are increasing in Korea.
객관적인 태풍 통계자료 구축을 위한 ‘한반도 근접 태풍’의 정의 및 기준 설정
문일주(Il-Ju Moon),최의수(Eu-soo Choi) 한국기상학회 2011 대기 Vol.21 No.1
A definition on the tropical cyclone (TC) that influenced the Korean Peninsula (KP), the KP-influence TC, is widely used in the TC communities, but its criterion is not clear mainly due to the ambiguity and subjectiveness of the term such as 'influence', which led to the inconsistent TC statistical analysis. This study suggests a definition and criterion on the TC approaching to the KP (KP-approach TC) additionally, which is more obvious and objective than the KP-influence TC. In this study, the criterion on the KP-approach TC is determined when the TC's center from the RSMC best track data encounters the box areas of 28°N~40°N and 120°E~138°E. The range is chosen by finding a minimum area that includes all official KPinfluence TCs except three TCs that affected the KP as a tropical depression (TD). Statistical analysis reveals that, among total 1,537 TCs that occur in the western North Pacific during 1951-2008, the KP-approach TC was 472, the KP-influence TC was 187, and the KP-landfall TC was 87. August was the month that the largest TCs approach and influence to the KP. Finally, this paper suggests to determine the KP-influence TC by the strong wind and heavy rain advisories in the KP based on the observation after the storm's passage.