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조남건 순천향대학교 사회과학연구소 2004 순천향 사회과학연구 Vol.10 No.1
The aim of this paper is to prospect what will be the situation of Asan city after opening High Speed Rail(HSR) from 1st April 2004. It takes only 34 minutes from Seoul by the HSR, which is commutable time and space. However a commuter thinks about the total fare and travel time including access time from home to the station and egress time from the station to his/her destination. As the CheonanAsan station is located on the suburban area, it makes difficult for commuter to use the HSR as a commuting mode. The HSR improves accessibility. However there are two aspects to the accessibility improvement. One is positive to the city ; good accessibility makes the travel areas wide, which stimulates interaction trade and movement between regions. This kind of economic activities motivate city's development. The other is negative ; good accessibility will contribute widen shopping areas, which pull out small city's purchasing power into accessible larger city like Seoul. The negative case were often reviewed at Japan after opening HSR. This paper focuses on SWOT(Strong, Weak, Opportunity, Threat) analysis of Asan city to look for possible alternatives for city's development. Good accessibility by the HSR and lots of tour places in city area are strong and opportunity factors to develope Asan city. However, 100km of distance from Seoul is rather suitable place for car or truck. Lots of factories are mainly depending on the goods transport, however HSR is passenger only mode. Moreover, Government does not consider the cities near Seoul as a promotion actor to accomplish balanced nation development. Such weak and treat factors would harm to Asan city's growth. HSR is a good chance for Asan city to use it efficient. HSR station has some potentialities to boom station area development. It is important that only HSR does not make anything happen. The development depends on how much it use the potentialities of HSR. The key is held in Asan city whether HSR station area will be developed as a new city center or keep current appearances.
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조남건,윤대식 국토연구원 2002 국토연구 Vol.33 No.-
Korea has been entering the ageing society as the population of age over 65 shared 7.2% since 2001. The most urgent issue on the ageing society in Korea is that the speed to entering into the high ageing society is estimated the fastest in the world. It would take 7 years from the ageing society to the high ageing society, which is faster than the period of Japan. The purpose of this study is to find out which factors affect the travel mode choice of the elderly.Multinomial logit model is used to find which factors are able to explain the mode choice of the older people. The pooled model with 711 samples was gathered at Seoul, Gwachon cities and Daegu city for people over 50 years old. The pooled model coefficients were estimated using the explaining variables, such as access time and cost, main travel time and cost, egress time and cost variables with regional dummy variable. In order to find the differences between the age groups and the survey regions the pooled model was segmented as two parts of 50-64 years old and over 65 years old as well as Seoul and Gwachon cities and Daegu city. The model for the over 65 years old showed that older people did not consider time variable significantly when choosing a mode, since the t-value of main travel time variable was low at the 5% level of significance. The test results indicated that older people tends to prefer to choose his/her mode by considering the travel cost rather than the travel time. Most t-values for the estimated parameters was stable at the 5% level of significance. The likelihood ratio index of the model (ρ2) was robust since its value was 0.39 which was known to an excellent value between 0.2 and 0.4. However, this study did not consider jobs or trip purpose when choosing a travel mode by the elderly due to the sample size. These factors which are considered as major factors of mode choice have to be applied in the future study.
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