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소규모 농업용 저수지의 노후도 및 안전도 평가 -고삼 저수지에 대한 사례 연구-
장병옥,박영곤,우철웅 한국농공학회 1998 韓國農工學會誌 : 전원과 자원 Vol.40 No.1
Ths study was peformed to evaluate the degree of degradation and safety of a small agricultural reservoir, Kosam Reservoir, in Kyungki Province. Evaluation was done by the program developed by the authors. Results of the study are as follows: 1) Although many burrows were found in downstream side of embankment and cracks were found in wall joining spillway, it appeared that degree of degradation of embankment was in good conditions. 2) Compressive strengths of concrete of crest, side channel, chute floor of spillway were in poor condition. But it appeared that overall degree of degradation of structures was in medium condition based on the criteria of the evaluation system 3) From the analysis of slope stability, safety factor of downstream slope was over 3.3 for the worst condition, such as flood and high water level and that of upstream slope was also over 3.6 for rapid drawdown. In case of earthquake, safety factors were over 2.5 for all conditions. Therefore embankment slopes of Kosam Reservoir were very stable for normal and earthquake condition. 4) As upon assumed failure of embankment of Kosam Reservoir, degree of damage was estimated to be very serious because of many loss of life and properties in the downstream area. 5) Overall grade of safety of Kosam Reservoir was in good condition. Therefore safety was considered to be "No problems" at the present time but further degradation may be proceeded partly and continuously as time goes by.e goes by.
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장병옥 한국외국어대학교 국제지역연구센터 2013 국제지역연구 Vol.17 No.3
이슬람의 도래 이후, 1000년 이상의 역사를 이어오던 중앙아시아의 이슬람은 소비에트 연방의 지배 하에 억압을 받았다. 이러한 이슬람은 구소련이 붕괴되면서 이슬람 원리주의자들의정치활동이 활성화되며 다시 부흥기에 접어들게 되었다. 소수의 이슬람 원리주의자들은 구소련의 정치체제 하에서부터 활발히 활동을 시작하였는데, 이는 1985년 이후 경제가 전반적으로악화되고, 국가 재건에 따른 민족주의가 부상했기 때문이었다. 본고에서는 중앙아시아 5개국, 즉 타지키스탄, 우즈베키스탄, 카자흐스탄, 투르크메니스탄과 키르기스스탄에서의 이슬람 원리주의가 어떠한 과정을 거쳐 발전하였는지 통시적이고 공시적인 방법으로 분석하였다. 이슬람 원리주의자들의 활발한 활동이 지역안보 및 세계안보에 큰 위협이 되고 있다고 여겨지는 현 시점에서 중앙아시아 이슬람 원리주의의 역사적 행적을 살피고, 이슬람 원리주의의향후 전망을 예측해 보는 것은 유의미할 것이다. After the advent of Islam, Islam in Central Asia, which has been its religion for more than 1000years, had been suppressed under the rule of the Soviet Union. Islam, once again, revived when the political activity of Islamic fundamentalists began to be activated after the collapse of the former Soviet Union. Some fundamentalists could work actively even under the Soviet Union in 1980s. This was because the economy in this region was deteriorated, and nationalism emerged. In this paper, we analyzed how Islamic fundamentalism in five Central Asian countries -Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Turkmenistan - has been developed by using diachronic and synchronic method. In this current moment when the Islamic fundamentalists' political activity is considered as a threat to the regional and international security, the study on the Islamic fundamentalism in Central Asia in historical perspective and prediction of its future would be significant.
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탈냉전시기 아태지역의 전략국면과 미국-중국-일본의 삼각관계
장병옥 韓國外國語大學校 外國學綜合硏究센터 中國硏究所 2004 中國硏究 Vol.33 No.-
The political structure of the Asia-Pacific region in the 1970s was controlled by the Great triangular relationship among the U.S., the USSR, and China. However, after the collapse of the USSR, the position and role of the U.S. has become more 'projecting' and important. With economic development and the increase in 'synthetic power', China plays an increasingly important role in maintaining stability and peace both globally and in the Asia-Pacific region. As an economic superpower, Japan is attempting to obtain a greater role in world affairs. Once Japan is successful in its efforts to become a permanent member of the UN Security Council, it will be able to play a role as a global and regional political superpower commensurate with its economic power. Thus the geopolitical structure of the Asia-Pacific region in the Post Cold-War era will be maintained and balanced by the new triangular relationship of the U.S., China, and Japan. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the validity of the triangular framework on relationships and relations among the U.S., Japan and China in the Asia-Pacific region in the Post- Cold War era.
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장병옥 한국외국어대학교 국제지역연구센터 2009 국제지역연구 Vol.13 No.1
Iran's nuclear has been an big issue in international society. Many worries the disorder or crisis in the Middle east area, which Iran's nuclear weapon may cause. Bush Administration believed that only economic pressure or military action can stop the Iran's nuclear program. However, President Obama, from the beginning or even before his election, insisted that he would solve Iran's nuclear issue through tough and direct communication with Iran. Obama continuously suggests Iran to attend the negotiation table. Even though the negotiation between both countries seems to be possible, we could not guarantee it since the conflict history of both countries has been deepened through over 30 years. In this paper, we investigate the background of the Iran's nuclear program development and U.S. policy toward Iran with regard to the Iran's nuclear program. 이란의 핵개발 문제는 늘 국제사회에서 큰 이슈가 되어왔다. 이란이 핵무기를 보유하게 되면 중동지역의 질서와 평화가 깨질 수도 있다는 우려 때문이었다. 부시 전 행정부는 이란이나 북한과 같은 불량국가에 대해 공세적 강압정책으로 나가야한다고 믿어왔기 때문에 이란에 많은 제제를 가해왔다. 부시 행정부는 이란에 대해 경제적 압박뿐만 아니라 이란의 핵무기 개발 저지를 위한 마지막 수단으로 한때 이란을 공격할 전략까지 수립하기도 했었다. 한편 오바마 미 대통령은 당선 전부터 이란과의 강력하고 직접적인 대화를 통하여 이란의 핵문제를 해결할 것이라는 의지를 보여 왔다. 오바마 정부는 출범시기부터 현재까지 지속적으로 이란에 대해 협상의 손을 내밀고 있다. 본고에서는 이란핵과 관련하여 이란핵 개발의 착수 배경과 그 실체를 비롯하여, 미국의 對이란 정책 방향 등을 고찰해보고자 한다.
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